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VoteFair Ranking Results calculated at  www.VoteFair.org 2010-March-11  21:07

Poll title:

     American Idol, Season 9, Top 16    

Question (number 2) title:

     Who is your favorite, second-favorite, etc., male singer?    

The most preferred and most representative choice is:

    Lee DeWyze

Overall popularity ranking:

     
Popularity Choice VoteFair
ranking
score
Traditional
vote count

(for comparison)
First-most popular Lee DeWyze  Ranking score is 65 for Lee DeWyze 197 voters marked Lee DeWyze as their first choice
Second-most popular Casey James  Ranking score is 51 for Casey James 92 voters marked Casey James as their first choice
Third-most popular Alex Lambert  Ranking score is 41 for Alex Lambert 106 voters marked Alex Lambert as their first choice
Fourth-most popular Michael Lynche  Ranking score is 33 for Michael Lynche 95 voters marked Michael Lynche as their first choice
Fifth-most popular Andrew Garcia  Ranking score is 24 for Andrew Garcia 48 voters marked Andrew Garcia as their first choice
Sixth-most popular Aaron Kelly  Ranking score is 16 for Aaron Kelly 47 voters marked Aaron Kelly as their first choice
Seventh-most popular Tim Urban  Ranking score is 8 for Tim Urban 23 voters marked Tim Urban as their first choice
Eighth-most popular Todrick Hall  Ranking score is 0 for Todrick Hall 21 voters marked Todrick Hall as their first choice

VoteFair representation Ranking

  

First-most representative choice is:

Lee DeWyze

Second-most representative choice is:

Casey James

Third-most representative choice is:

Alex Lambert

Additional levels of representation were not calculated.
(There may be too many questions, too many choices for this question, or too many votes, or no further calculations were requested.)

VoteFair representation ranking results should be used when more than one choice is to be selected. Why? When there are 100 voters, 51 of them can choose the first winner, so the other 49 voters deserve extra influence in choosing the second winner (instead of letting the 51 voters also choose the second winner). When should representation results be used? When a second candidate is elected to a second equivalent seat in a state legislature, or when an organization pursues a simultaneous second activity in addition to the most popular activity.

Comparison of VoteFair Ranking with other voting methods

  
Voting method Winner
VoteFair Lee DeWyze
Instant runoff Lee DeWyze
(20 ballots at least partially ignored because they include an equal preference at a significant step in the runoff process.
(Choice eliminated in the first round : Todrick Hall)
Majority None of the choices has won a majority (more than half) the votes.

(58 ballots ignored because they rank more than one choice as the most-preferred choice.)
Plurality Lee DeWyze

(58 ballots ignored because they rank more than one choice as the most-preferred choice.)
Condorcet Lee DeWyze
Borda count Lee DeWyze
(114 ballots ignored because they rank more than one choice at the same preference level.)

Details of plurality results

  
Choice Vote count Percentage
Lee DeWyze 197 31 197 voters marked Lee DeWyze as their first choice
Alex Lambert 106 17 106 voters marked Alex Lambert as their first choice
Michael Lynche 95 15 95 voters marked Michael Lynche as their first choice
Casey James 92 15 92 voters marked Casey James as their first choice
Andrew Garcia 48 8 48 voters marked Andrew Garcia as their first choice
Aaron Kelly 47 7 47 voters marked Aaron Kelly as their first choice
Tim Urban 23 4 23 voters marked Tim Urban as their first choice
Todrick Hall 21 3 21 voters marked Todrick Hall as their first choice
(58 ballots ignored in plurality counting because they rank more than one choice as the most-preferred choice.)

Notice that the choice with the most plurality votes is not necessarily the most popular. Similarly the choice with the fewest plurality votes is not necessarily the least popular.

Data and Calculation Summary
Number of votes: 687
The following tally table summarizes all the preferences of all the voters. The bold underlined numbers are the ones that apply to the winning sequence.
  
All possible pairs of choice names Number of votes with indicated preference
Prefer X over Y Equal preference Prefer Y over X
X = Lee DeWyze
Y = Casey James
380
380 voters prefer Lee DeWyze over Casey James
73
73 voters have an equal preference for Lee DeWyze and Casey James
234
234 voters prefer Casey James over Lee DeWyze
X = Lee DeWyze
Y = Alex Lambert
403
403 voters prefer Lee DeWyze over Alex Lambert
71
71 voters have an equal preference for Lee DeWyze and Alex Lambert
213
213 voters prefer Alex Lambert over Lee DeWyze
X = Lee DeWyze
Y = Michael Lynche
431
431 voters prefer Lee DeWyze over Michael Lynche
64
64 voters have an equal preference for Lee DeWyze and Michael Lynche
192
192 voters prefer Michael Lynche over Lee DeWyze
X = Lee DeWyze
Y = Andrew Garcia
456
456 voters prefer Lee DeWyze over Andrew Garcia
75
75 voters have an equal preference for Lee DeWyze and Andrew Garcia
156
156 voters prefer Andrew Garcia over Lee DeWyze
X = Lee DeWyze
Y = Aaron Kelly
468
468 voters prefer Lee DeWyze over Aaron Kelly
69
69 voters have an equal preference for Lee DeWyze and Aaron Kelly
150
150 voters prefer Aaron Kelly over Lee DeWyze
X = Lee DeWyze
Y = Tim Urban
485
485 voters prefer Lee DeWyze over Tim Urban
72
72 voters have an equal preference for Lee DeWyze and Tim Urban
130
130 voters prefer Tim Urban over Lee DeWyze
X = Lee DeWyze
Y = Todrick Hall
521
521 voters prefer Lee DeWyze over Todrick Hall
70
70 voters have an equal preference for Lee DeWyze and Todrick Hall
96
96 voters prefer Todrick Hall over Lee DeWyze
X = Casey James
Y = Alex Lambert
340
340 voters prefer Casey James over Alex Lambert
78
78 voters have an equal preference for Casey James and Alex Lambert
269
269 voters prefer Alex Lambert over Casey James
X = Casey James
Y = Michael Lynche
358
358 voters prefer Casey James over Michael Lynche
71
71 voters have an equal preference for Casey James and Michael Lynche
258
258 voters prefer Michael Lynche over Casey James
X = Casey James
Y = Andrew Garcia
383
383 voters prefer Casey James over Andrew Garcia
82
82 voters have an equal preference for Casey James over Andrew Garcia
222
222 voters prefer Andrew Garcia over Casey James
X = Casey James
Y = Aaron Kelly
415
415 voters prefer Casey James over Aaron Kelly
73
73 voters have an equal preference for Casey James and Aaron Kelly
199
199 voters prefer Aaron Kelly over Casey James
X = Casey James
Y = Tim Urban
461
461 voters prefer Casey James over Tim Urban
78
78 voters have an equal preference for Casey James and Tim Urban
148
148 voters prefer Tim Urban over Casey James
X = Casey James
Y = Todrick Hall
495
495 voters prefer Casey James over Todrick Hall
78
78 voters have an equal preference for Casey James over Todrick Hall
114
114 voters prefer Todrick Hall over Casey James
X = Alex Lambert
Y = Michael Lynche
323
323 voters prefer Alex Lambert over Michael Lynche
77
77 voters have an equal preference for Alex Lambert and Michael Lynche
287
287 voters prefer Michael Lynche over Alex Lambert
X = Alex Lambert
Y = Andrew Garcia
329
329 voters prefer Alex Lambert over Andrew Garcia
85
85 voters have an equal preference for Alex Lambert over Andrew Garcia
273
273 voters prefer Andrew Garcia over Alex Lambert
X = Alex Lambert
Y = Aaron Kelly
374
374 voters prefer Alex Lambert over Aaron Kelly
78
78 voters have an equal preference for Alex Lambert over Aaron Kelly
235
235 voters prefer Aaron Kelly over Alex Lambert
X = Alex Lambert
Y = Tim Urban
451
451 voters prefer Alex Lambert over Tim Urban
93
93 voters have an equal preference for Alex Lambert and Tim Urban
143
143 voters prefer Tim Urban over Alex Lambert
X = Alex Lambert
Y = Todrick Hall
477
477 voters prefer Alex Lambert over Todrick Hall
87
87 voters have an equal preference for Alex Lambert over Todrick Hall
123
123 voters prefer Todrick Hall over Alex Lambert
X = Michael Lynche
Y = Andrew Garcia
320
320 voters prefer Michael Lynche over Andrew Garcia
74
74 voters have an equal preference for Michael Lynche over Andrew Garcia
293
293 voters prefer Andrew Garcia over Michael Lynche
X = Michael Lynche
Y = Aaron Kelly
366
366 voters prefer Michael Lynche over Aaron Kelly
75
75 voters have an equal preference for Michael Lynche over Aaron Kelly
246
246 voters prefer Aaron Kelly over Michael Lynche
X = Michael Lynche
Y = Tim Urban
414
414 voters prefer Michael Lynche over Tim Urban
83
83 voters have an equal preference for Michael Lynche and Tim Urban
190
190 voters prefer Tim Urban over Michael Lynche
X = Michael Lynche
Y = Todrick Hall
468
468 voters prefer Michael Lynche over Todrick Hall
82
82 voters have an equal preference for Michael Lynche over Todrick Hall
137
137 voters prefer Todrick Hall over Michael Lynche
X = Andrew Garcia
Y = Aaron Kelly
339
339 voters prefer Andrew Garcia over Aaron Kelly
75
75 voters have an equal preference for Andrew Garcia and Aaron Kelly
273
273 voters prefer Aaron Kelly over Andrew Garcia
X = Andrew Garcia
Y = Tim Urban
375
375 voters prefer Andrew Garcia over Tim Urban
86
86 voters have an equal preference for Andrew Garcia and Tim Urban
226
226 voters prefer Tim Urban over Andrew Garcia
X = Andrew Garcia
Y = Todrick Hall
442
442 voters prefer Andrew Garcia over Todrick Hall
83
83 voters have an equal preference for Andrew Garcia and Todrick Hall
162
162 voters prefer Todrick Hall over Andrew Garcia
X = Aaron Kelly
Y = Tim Urban
363
363 voters prefer Aaron Kelly over Tim Urban
83
83 voters have an equal preference for Aaron Kelly and Tim Urban
241
241 voters prefer Tim Urban over Aaron Kelly
X = Aaron Kelly
Y = Todrick Hall
414
414 voters prefer Aaron Kelly over Todrick Hall
81
81 voters have an equal preference for Aaron Kelly over Todrick Hall
192
192 voters prefer Todrick Hall over Aaron Kelly
X = Tim Urban
Y = Todrick Hall
375
375 voters prefer Tim Urban over Todrick Hall
96
96 voters have an equal preference for Tim Urban over Todrick Hall
216
216 voters prefer Todrick Hall over Tim Urban
The highest score (which equals the sum of the bold underlined numbers, plus either tally number in any tied pair of choices) is: 11,426
Number of all possible valid sequences (without ties): 40,320
First sequence:
  1. Lee DeWyze
  2. Andrew Garcia
  3. Todrick Hall
  4. Casey James
  5. Aaron Kelly
  6. Alex Lambert
  7. Michael Lynche
  8. Tim Urban
Last sequence:
  1. Tim Urban
  2. Michael Lynche
  3. Alex Lambert
  4. Aaron Kelly
  5. Casey James
  6. Todrick Hall
  7. Andrew Garcia
  8. Lee DeWyze
© Copyright 2009 Solutions Through Innovation at www.VoteFair.org

Detailed ballot information
(The numbers indicate the choices
as listed in "First sequence" above,
a comma indicates the next lower preference level,
"&" joins choices at the same preference level,
and "x" precedes the vote count.)

  • 1&2&3&4&5&6&7&8 x53
  • 1&2&4&6&7&8,3&5 x1
  • 1&2&4&6,3&5&7&8 x1
  • 1&5&7,4&6,2&8,3 x1
  • 1,2&3&4&5&6&7&8 x4
  • 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 x5
  • 1,2,3,4,7,5,6,8 x1
  • 1,2,3,6,7,4,5,8 x1
  • 1,2,4,3,6,7,5,8 x1
  • 1,2,4,5,6,7,8,3 x2
  • 1,2,4,5,8,6,7,3 x1
  • 1,2,4,6,7,3,5,8 x1
  • 1,2,4,6,7,5,3,8 x1
  • 1,2,4,6,7,8,3,5 x2
  • 1,2,4,7,5,6,3,8 x1
  • 1,2,4,7,6&8,5,3 x1
  • 1,2,4,7,6,3,8,5 x2
  • 1,2,4,7,6,5,8,3 x1
  • 1,2,4,7,6,8,5,3 x1
  • 1,2,4,7,8,6,5,3 x1
  • 1,2,4,8,7,5,3,6 x1
  • 1,2,5,4,7,8,6,3 x1
  • 1,2,5,6,8,7,4,3 x1
  • 1,2,6,4,7,3,5,8 x1
  • 1,2,6,4,7,5,8,3 x1
  • 1,2,6,4,8,5,7,3 x1
  • 1,2,6,5,4,7,8,3 x2
  • 1,2,6,7,4,5,3,8 x1
  • 1,2,6,7,4,5,8,3 x5
  • 1,2,6,7,5,4,3,8 x1
  • 1,2,6,7,8,3&4,5 x1
  • 1,2,7,4,5,6,3,8 x1
  • 1,2,7,4,5,6,8,3 x1
  • 1,2,7,4,6,3,8,5 x1
  • 1,2,7,5,6,4,3,8 x1
  • 1,2,7,6,4,5,8,3 x1
  • 1,2,8,4,7,5,3,6 x1
  • 1,3,2&4&5&6&7&8 x1
  • 1,3,2,5,4,7,8,6 x2
  • 1,3,2,8,4,5,6,7 x1
  • 1,3,4,2,7,6,8,5 x1
  • 1,3,6,8,5,4,2,7 x1
  • 1,3,7,4,2,5,6,8 x1
  • 1,4,2&3&5&6&7&8 x1
  • 1,4,2,3&5&6&7&8 x1
  • 1,4,2,3,7,6,8,5 x1
  • 1,4,2,3,7,8,6,5 x1
  • 1,4,2,5,6,7,3,8 x1
  • 1,4,2,5,6,7,8,3 x2
  • 1,4,2,5,7,3,8,6 x1
  • [Remaining ballots not listed]

© Copyright 2009 Solutions Through Innovation at www.VoteFair.org

Software version: 2010-Mar-11

The free VoteFair ranking service is subsidized by sales of Ending The Hidden Unfairness In U.S. Elections and The Creative Problem Solver's Toolbox, which were written by Richard Fobes, the inventor of VoteFair ranking and the programmer and writer for the VoteFair site.

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